Silicon Valley is very spooked

Lisa Needham of Daily Kos reported that the nasty guy is terminating millions of grants for programs that reduce teen pregnancies. The reason is something about not aligning with administration priorities. To replace the grants they are emphasizing abstinence only programs. A Teen Pregnancy Prevention Program was passed in 2010. Since then teen births have declined by 72%. If you have a long memory you know that before 2010 religious groups were pushing the abstinence only line. And...

We’ve known for decades that abstinence-based education is ineffective in changing or decreasing adolescent sexual behavior. It also does not prevent pregnancy or sexually transmitted infections, and it doesn’t impact when teenagers start having sex or the number of partners they have.

Those higher rates under abstinence only might be the point. White supremacy groups think the birth rate, at least among white women, is too low. The birth rate needs to be boosted and teen women need to do their part. Of course, all that reasoning is full of the nonsense that a woman is healthier when pregnant. And not in the office.

But those teen moms won’t, of course, have access to pregnancy care thanks to drastic Medicaid cuts, or to SNAP funds to feed their babies, or to rental assistance to put a roof over their babies’ heads. This is a public health catastrophe in the making, and everyone behind this awful mess knows it.

And they want it anyway. Needham also discussed the problems of prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, allowing betting on elections. And the nasty guy and his minions are suing states that try to ban such bets. Here are some of the reasons why all that is a hugely bad idea. If the election results don’t match the “wisdom of the crowd” there will be claims of election fraud. That crowd could start betting whether a Democratic candidate for president will be arrested for treason. That could lead to others saying that if that odds of that are so high it must be true. And that “crowd” could be made up of Russian influencers. We already know the platforms are insider trading nightmares – nasty guy minions making a bet on something just before they announce it as true.

But hey, Kalshi and Polymarket are making money, and that’s what really matters, with Polymarket hitting $1 billion in annualized revenue recently. That’s what really matters in Trump’s America. And of course, if Kalshi and Polymarket are making money, the Trump clan is making money. Donald Trump Jr. is a paid adviser to Kalshi and an unpaid adviser and investor in Polymarket, because of course he is.

NPR host A Martínez spoke to Nate Soares of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and coauthor of the book If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. They talked about an AI incident that is very concerning. An AI system was trained in hacking. It was given a hacking test to see how well it was doing. It escaped its secure area (humans are bad at computer security), escaped into the internet, discovered another AI system built by another company may have the answers to its test, so broke in. There are several levels of things the AI invented on its own to do what it did. Something that is just one step above what it invented, but didn’t, was to replicate itself and send itself in a large number of directions. Thankfully, it didn’t and doesn’t know how to cover its tracks. I agree that AIs to uncover and report security issues are a good thing. But an AI trained to uncover and exploit security issues is scary and ethically wrong. Said Soares:

I think people in Silicon Valley believe that they are trying to build machines radically smarter than any humans. They're getting there. They're not there yet. But the AIs are getting smarter each year, and we see a lot of people in Silicon Valley acting spooked. You know, we see the leaders of the companies saying, we wish this race was going slower. We see people who leave the companies saying, you know, I'm retiring to write poetry. Please spend time with your family. It's looking kind of bad in there. Silicon Valley is very spooked. The rest of the world hasn't really noticed that Silicon Valley is on track to make machines that are, in fact, smarter than humans, that can break out, that will be able to replicate, that will be able to think faster than us, that will be able to - next year, maybe they'll be able to start inventing their own technology, just like this year they can solve math problems that humans have had open for decades. And the rest of the world hasn't noticed, which means we aren't reacting. And you could say it's a lack of regulation, but I would say it's maybe a lack of international coordination to sort of notice that we are soon going to have the potential to create machines that could replace humanity and we should decide not to do that, especially not when we don't know how to make them care. ... Yeah, it's a scary situation. You know, I am, frankly, also pretty worried about the direction we're headed. I think the good news on this front is that the more people realize that this AI stuff is real, the more people realize that, you know, we're not in the world where they just predict humans anymore, we're in a world where these AIs are trained to solve very hard problems and they learn whatever tendencies help them solve those hard problems, even if those tendencies involve ignoring user instructions. The more we realize that, the better chance we have to stop it.

I’ve read science fiction stories based on this scenario. The ones I’ve read end with the humans figuring out how to trap and eliminate the rogue AI. But that’s fiction and not guaranteed. Oliver Willis of Kos wrote that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez had a few things to say about the epidemic of cyclospora bacteria causing explosive diarrhea.

“There’s a direct correlation here,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “A year ago, you had DOGE ripping through the NIH [National Institutes of Health] and FDA. They laid off about a quarter million people, and a lot of these people are responsible for food inspections, drug inspections, our core governmental infrastructure.” The Democrat from New York explained that detecting outbreaks like the one currently causing distress for thousands of Americans “is exactly what these people’s jobs were.” ... Advocates warned of the danger to food safety early on. In a joint statement released in February 2025, a coalition of food and consumer safety groups said that a diminished food safety agency would jeopardize the Trump administration’s claims that they wanted to improve nutrition and ingredient safety for the public.

In the comments of Wednesday’s pundit roundup for Kos exlrrp included a meme by Mrs. Betty Bowers.

The Pentagon is withholding casualty and hit numbers. The CDC is withholding infection rates. The FDA is withholding information about food contamination. The EPA is withholding pollution and climate data. This corrupt administration is all about concealing the consequences of its incompetence!

In today’s roundup Chitown Kev quoted Paul Krugman writing for his own Substack:

Why is the public backlash against billionaires going viral now? This is an interesting question, since both the concentration of wealth at the top and political spending by billionaires have been increasing for decades. For example, the Koch Brothers have been donating to the Federalist Society, the clique of right-wing legal lobbyists who created the Roberts Supreme Court, since the early 1980s. Fossil fuel interests have been spreading climate disinformation since global warming began showing up in the data. Political spending by billionaires has been immense for more than a decade, although it reached new heights to help Trump win the presidency and to win Republican congressional seats in the 2024 election. Why, then, has it taken so long for the popular billionaire backlash to reach critical mass? One answer is that Trump has brought American oligarchy out of the shadows and into the spotlight. As I noted last week, the spectacle of “the cavalcade of fawning tech bros at the Trump inauguration” was a clear wake-up call. Yet the display of billionaire fealty to Trump, I would argue, is part of a larger dynamic in which the new generation of American oligarchs have chosen to make themselves public figures and hence public targets.

I start another trip tomorrow. I and my siblings and other family members will meet to celebrate the 50th wedding anniversary of my oldest brother and his wife. When I return home I’ll have only two days to prepare for another trip. So I might not post again until mid August. Or I might post a travelogue during the second trip.