Final battle in the culture war

The latest poll in Calif. shows that 55% of the voters will reject the state's marriage protection amendment and only 38% are for it. Great! But don't rest easy yet. The poll shows that only 40% is solidly no while that 38% is all solidly yes. So the 20% that isn't solid could be swayed by the ads that have started to hit the airwaves. The Yes side has raised about $17M while the No side has $12M. At this point it is good to remember that the most heavily funded doesn't always win. The Mormon Church sees this as the final battle in the culture war and backing that belief. Most of the money has come from the Mormon Church and they have strongly requested their membership put up lawn signs (stuck on a slow boat from China -- oops) and man phone banks. And they also threaten to excommunicate those who declare their intentions to vote no.

However, the situation is much more dire in Arizona. It seems (my own speculation) that since they defeated such an amendment once voters will, of course, do it again. Alas, the Mormon Church is again spending millions (I don't have recent numbers for donations or polls), but those trying to defeat it have income only in the low thousands. I sent my check yesterday.

I don't know the status of the amendment in Florida (where it must pass by at least 60%).