Thursday, July 29, 2010

Apathy can be our friend

Gay organizations made a big stink when the Department of Defense sent biased surveys to 400K soldiers (active and reserve) to get their views on having out gay colleagues. Three weeks later only 40K -- 10% -- of the soldiers have bothered to fill it out. The survey response time is to end in two more weeks. Most gay observers are interpreting this that 90% of military personnel simply don't care whether their gay colleagues are out. They also suspect of the 10% who did respond most are strongly anti-gay.

The question is how will the Pentagon interpret this result? Proper statistic protocol says that a return rate less than 30% means the results can't be a valid representation of the whole. But we're dealing with the military here. Will that 10% be taken as the whole, "proving" the military is too homophobic to allow gays to serve openly? Or will it be properly interpreted that 90% don't have issues with the ban's repeal?

To the anti-gay crowd, the younger generation is saying, "It's over. You lost. We don't care." Anti-gay policies will fall through apathy.

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